Developing and Validating a Multivariable Prognostic-Predictive Classifier for Treatment Escalation of Oropharyngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma: The PREDICTR-OPC Study.

PURPOSE: While there are several prognostic classifiers, to date, there are no validated predictive models that inform treatment selection for oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC).Our aim was to develop clinical and/or biomarker predictive models for patient outcome and treatment escalation for OPSCC. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: We retrospectively collated clinical data and samples from a consecutive cohort of OPSCC cases treated with curative intent at ten secondary care centers in United Kingdom and Poland between 1999 and 2012. We constructed tissue microarrays, which were stained and scored for 10 biomarkers. We then undertook multivariable regression of eight clinical parameters and 10 biomarkers on a development cohort of 600 patients. Models were validated on an independent, retrospectively collected, 385-patient cohort. RESULTS: A total of 985 subjects (median follow-up 5.03 years, range: 4.73-5.21 years) were included. The final biomarker classifier, comprising p16 and survivin immunohistochemistry, high-risk human papillomavirus (HPV) DNA in situ hybridization, and tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes, predicted benefit from combined surgery + adjuvant chemo/radiotherapy over primary chemoradiotherapy in the high-risk group [3-year overall survival (OS) 63.1% vs. 41.1%, respectively, HR = 0.32; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.16-0.65; P = 0.002], but not in the low-risk group (HR = 0.4; 95% CI, 0.14-1.24; P = 0.114). On further adjustment by propensity scores, the adjusted HR in the high-risk group was 0.34, 95% CI = 0.17-0.67, P = 0.002, and in the low-risk group HR was 0.5, 95% CI = 0.1-2.38, P = 0.384. The concordance index was 0.73. CONCLUSIONS: We have developed a prognostic classifier, which also appears to demonstrate moderate predictive ability. External validation in a prospective setting is now underway to confirm this and prepare for clinical adoption.

Independent reporting in oral and maxillofacial pathology.

AIMS: To understand the current practice, extent of use and barriers related to independent reporting (IR) in oral and maxillofacial pathology (OMFP) training in the UK. METHODS: A questionnaire was created containing questions about the experiences and opinions surrounding IR in OMFP. The target participants were (1) consultants in OMFP who had been involved in training OMFP trainees in the last 5 years and (2) current OMFP trainees. The questionnaire was delivered via Google Forms and disseminated using a link in an invitation email sent to the participants. RESULTS: A total of 13 consultant responses (response rate of 81%) and 12 trainee responses (response rate of 92%) were received. Of these, three consultants and five trainees were using IR at the time of the study. Several themes emerged highlighting the perceived benefits and concerns regarding IR. CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that there is a disparity in the way IR is used in OMFP training across the UK. There was shared concern between consultants and trainees regarding the lack of clear guidance and subsequent fear of litigation. These are issues that need to be addressed if trainees are to have a similar experience across the country and be prepared for independent practice on completion of training.

Hospitalization costs of adult community-acquired pneumonia in England.

OBJECTIVE: Accurate and up-to-date figures of the cost of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) hospitalization are needed to understand the associated economic burden for public health decision-makers. Recent estimates are lacking, and previously published estimates differ markedly. Our objective was to estimate the current mean cost to the UK National Health Service (NHS) for adult hospitalized CAP. METHODS: All CAP hospitalizations in 2019 for those aged ≥18 years were identified from English Hospital Episode Statistics (HES). Each hospitalization was mapped to the tariff cost paid to the care provider within the NHS, including critical care costs and accounting for length of stay and complexity of the case. Mean hospitalization costs were estimated in total and in individuals with defined underlying comorbidities. RESULTS: A mean cost of £3,904 was estimated for 187,251 CAP admissions providing a total cost of approximately £731 million per annum. The mean cost was £3,402, excluding critical care costs, and £11,654 for critical care episodes in the 4.4% of admissions receiving this care. Groups at high risk of CAP had higher mean costs, ranging from £4,458 for people with diabetes to £5,215 for those with heart disease aged <65 years and £4,356 for those with heart disease to £4,751 for those with liver disease aged >65 years who comprised 74.3% of admissions overall. CONCLUSION: This estimate of the cost of hospitalization for CAP from the total population and in those with certain underlying comorbidities will allow a valid understanding of the cost-benefit of vaccination and evidence-based prioritization of pneumococcal vaccination to those at highest risk.

Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is a disease that is most commonly caused in England by the bacterium Streptococcus pneumoniae, which infects patients outside of a hospital. Patients who suffer from CAP often require hospitalization, which incurs a cost to the UK National Health Service (NHS). The goal of this study was to establish the annual cost of hospitalized CAP.The researchers used England's national healthcare database, known as Hospital Episodes Statistics (HES), to select all adults in England who were hospitalized for CAP in 2019. For the 187,251 patients hospitalized, an average cost of £3,904 per person was estimated, amounting to a total cost of £731 million per year to the NHS. Most people admitted to hospital with CAP were at risk for the disease (due to factors such as increased age or presence of another disease) and the cost of treatment for this subgroup was disproportionately larger than that for treatment of patients not at risk. Furthermore, while approximately 5% of patients admitted for CAP received critical care during treatment, the average cost for these patients was over £8,000 higher than for those outside this subsection.The costs of hospitalization reported in this analysis were higher than previously estimated. The researchers highlighted weaknesses in other studies and limitations of the current study which could explain the difference. This work provides up-to-date figures for the cost of treating CAP in hospital in England. Public health decision-makers can use these estimates to determine the cost-benefit of vaccines that can help protect against important causes of CAP, particularly vaccines that target S. pneumoniae.

Variation in access to specialist services for neurosurgical procedures in adults with epilepsy in England, a cohort study.

PURPOSE: To understand if primary consultation at tertiary epilepsy centres (TEC) in England impacts access to neurosurgical procedures (resective surgery, vagus nerve stimulator [VNS], deep brain stimulator [DBS]). METHODS: Adults with epilepsy, and with a first neurology outpatient visit (index) between 01/01/2013 and 31/12/2015, were followed using English Hospital Episode Statistics from index date to 31/12/2019. Analyses were stratified by geographic location, learning disability record, and whether the index or follow-up visits were at a TEC. RESULTS: 84,093 people were included, with mean 5.5 years of follow-up. 12.4% of the cohort had learning disability (range 10.1%-17.4% across regions). TEC consultations varied by National Health Service regions and Clinical Commissioning Groups. 37.5% of people (11.2%-75.0% across regions) had their index visit at a TEC; and, of those not initially seen at a TEC, 10.6% (6.5%-17.7%) subsequently attended a tertiary centre. During follow-up, 11.1% people (9.5%-13.2%) visited a neurosurgery department, and 2.3% of those (0.9%-5.0%) then underwent a neurosurgical procedure, mainly VNS implantation. Median time from index date to first visit at a neurosurgery centre was 7 months (range 6-8 months across regions) and 40 months to procedure (36.5-49 months, 37.0 months in people with index visit at a TEC and 49.0 months otherwise). People with learning disability were less likely to have resective surgery (<0.5% versus 1.0% in those without) and more likely to undergo VNS implantation (5.8% versus 0.8%). CONCLUSION: Although clinically recommended for suitable individuals, neurosurgical procedures in epilepsy remain uncommon even after consultation at a TEC. Geographical variation in access to TECs was present.

Treating the N0 neck in early stage oral cancer: a pause for re-assessment?

The incidence of metastases following neck dissection in the apparent lymph node negative neck in oral cancer is between 7% and 33%; early resection of cervical metastases may well increase survival. Modern imaging techniques can reduce the yield of previously undiagnosed metastatic nodes in elective neck dissection (END). An audit of 112 consecutive cases was conducted to determine the proportion of undiagnosed nodal metastases, after END. There were neck metastases in 10 cases (9%), which were mainly (but not all) micrometastic. The 20% likelihood of nodal metastases was only apparent in primary tumours greater than 6 mm thick. The length of inpatient stay was increased from 3.7 to 16.5 days with free vascularised transfer. There were complications including cranial nerve damage. There were two peri-operative deaths. No ipsilateral neck failures occurred, median follow up was 937 days. To reduce unnecessary END, resection can be undertaken as a prior procedure, subsequently only carrying out END on tumours greater than 6 mm, or with unfavourable tumour characteristics.

Serial step sections at narrow intervals with immunohistochemistry are required for accurate histological assessment of sentinel lymph node biopsy in oral squamous cell carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Sentinel lymph node (SLN) biopsy is an accurate staging modality in early oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC), but its accuracy relies on labor-intensive histopathology protocols. We sought to determine whether serial step sections with immunohistochemistry (SSSIHC) at narrow intervals of the entire SLN are required to accurately exclude metastasis. METHODS: Consecutive SLN biopsies over a 13-year period were retrospectively evaluated. If the index section was negative for carcinoma, the entire SLN was subjected to SSSIHC at 150 µm intervals. The first section level and total number of section levels to contain carcinoma were recorded. RESULTS: One hundred and eighteen SLN+ from 90 patients were included. SSSIHC upstaged the nodal status in 19.5% of patients. Metastasis was identified in 16.7% and 10.2% beyond section levels 4 and 6, respectively. Among SLNs requiring SSSIHC, 47.5% contained carcinoma in a single section level. CONCLUSION: SSSIHC of the entire SLN at 150 µm intervals are required to identify occult metastasis in OSCC.

Post-licensure observational safety study after meningococcal B vaccine 4CMenB (Bexsero) vaccination within the routine UK immunisation program.

The study investigated the safety of 4-component meningococcal serogroup B vaccination (4CMenB) in routine care. 4CMenB exposure and seizures, febrile seizures and Kawasaki disease were identified from The Health Improvement Network (THIN) database of UK electronic primary healthcare records, 2015-2018. A self-controlled case series analysis was completed. Anaphylaxis, Guillain-Barré syndrome and acute disseminated encephalomyelitis were secondary outcomes. A total of 107,231 children aged 1-18 months received ≥1 doses of 4CMenB vaccination. Most 4CMenB exposure (93%) was on the same day as other vaccines within a complete national immunisation program stage. With day 0 as day of vaccination, 43 seizures occurred in days 0-6 after 239,505 doses, and 23 febrile seizures occurred in days 0-6, and 4 Kawasaki disease cases in days 1-28 after 194,929 4CMenB doses. Adjusted incidence rate ratios including all 4CMenB exposures were 1.43 (95%CI: 1.02-2.02) for seizures and 1.72 (95%CI: 1.08-2.75) for febrile seizures. There were insufficient cases to model Kawasaki disease, and no cases of the secondary outcomes in risk periods when they may be associated with the vaccination. This study shows few cases of the outcomes after vaccination including 4CMenB with an increased risk of seizures and febrile seizures. It is not possible to attribute the finding to one specific vaccination as the majority of 4CMenB was given with other vaccinations. Trial registration: NA.

Effectiveness of "Priorix" Against Measles and Mumps Diseases in Children Born After 2004 in the United Kingdom: A Retrospective Case-control Study Using the Clinical Practice Research Datalink GOLD Database.

BACKGROUND: Evidence on vaccine effectiveness (VE) may encourage vaccination and help fight the reemergence of measles and mumps in Europe. However, limited data exist on real-life effectiveness of individual measles, mumps and rubella (MMR) vaccines. This study evaluated VE of GSK's MMR vaccine ("Priorix") against measles and mumps. METHODS: This retrospective, case-control study used UK data from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink GOLD linked to the Hospital Episode Statistics database to identify children 1-13 years old diagnosed with measles or mumps from January 2006 to December 2018. Cases were matched to controls according to birth month/year and practice region. Cases were identified using clinical codes (without laboratory confirmation). "Priorix" exposure was identified using vaccine batch identifiers. Children exposed to other MMR vaccines were excluded. Adjusted VE was estimated for ≥1 vaccine dose in all children, and for 1 dose and ≥2 doses in children ≥4 years at diagnosis. RESULTS: Overall, 299 measles cases matched with 1196 controls (87.6% <4 years old), and 243 mumps cases matched with 970 controls (74.2% <4 years old) were considered. VE for ≥1 dose in all children was 78.0% (97.5% confidence interval: 67.2%-85.3%) for measles and 66.7% (48.1%-78.6%) for mumps. In children ≥4 years old, VE after 1 dose was 74.6% (-21.7% to 94.7%) for measles and 82.3% (32.7%-95.3%) for mumps, and VE after ≥2 doses was 94.4% (79.7%-98.5%) for measles and 86.5% (64.0%-94.9%) for mumps. CONCLUSIONS: "Priorix" is effective in preventing measles and mumps in real-life settings.

TNM 8 staging is a better prognosticator than TNM 7 for patients with locally advanced oral cavity squamous cell carcinoma treated with surgery and post-operative radiotherapy.

PURPOSE: To assess TNM 8 staging in discriminating overall survival (OS) amongst patients with locally advanced oral cavity squamous cell carcinoma (OCSCC) treated with surgery and post-operative radiotherapy (PORT), compared to TNM 7. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Data from OCSCC patients treated with surgery and PORT between January 2010 and December 2018 were reviewed. Demographics, tumour characteristics and treatment response data were collected, and patients staged according to both TNM 7 and TNM 8. OS and disease free survival (DFS) were estimated using the Kaplan Meier method. Univariate and multivariable analyses were conducted for factors affecting OS, DFS and early disease recurrence within 12 months. RESULTS: Overall 172 patients were analyzed. Median follow up was 32 months for all patients and 48 months for surviving patients. TNM 8 staging demonstrated significant stratification of OS and DFS amongst the entire cohort, whereas TNM 7 staging did not. On multivariable analysis, TNM 8 stage, performance status (PS) and a positive surgical margin were prognostic for OS. Looking at disease recurrence within 12 months, TNM 8 stage IVB, presence of lymphovascular invasion (LVSI), younger age and lesser smoking history were predictive factors on multivariable analysis. CONCLUSION: TNM 8 is a good development of its predecessor in terms of predicting survival for patients with locally advanced OCSCC. We have also identified younger age (<60 years) and a smoking history of <10 pack years as risk factors for early disease recurrence, potentially representing a separate biological cohort within OCSCC patients.

Incorporating patient generated health data into pharmacoepidemiological research.

Epidemiology and pharmacoepidemiology frequently employ Real-World Data (RWD) from healthcare teams to inform research. These data sources usually include signs, symptoms, tests, and treatments, but may lack important information such as the patient's diet or adherence or quality of life. By harnessing digital tools a new fount of evidence, Patient (or Citizen/Person) Generated Health Data (PGHD), is becoming more readily available. This review focusses on the advantages and considerations in using PGHD for pharmacoepidemiological research. New and corroborative types of data can be collected directly from patients using digital devices, both passively and actively. Practical issues such as patient engagement, data linking, validation, and analysis are among important considerations in the use of PGHD. In our ever increasingly patient-centric world, PGHD incorporated into more traditional Real-Word data sources offers innovative opportunities to expand our understanding of the complex factors involved in health and the safety and effectiveness of disease treatments. Pharmacoepidemiologists have a unique role in realizing the potential of PGHD by ensuring that robust methodology, governance, and analytical techniques underpin its use to generate meaningful research results.

Outcome misclassification: Impact, usual practice in pharmacoepidemiology database studies and an online aid to correct biased estimates of risk ratio or cumulative incidence.

PURPOSE: It is well documented that outcome misclassification can bias a point estimate. We aimed to understand current practice in addressing this bias in pharmacoepidemiology database studies and to develop an open source application (app) from existing methodology to demonstrate the impact and mechanism of this bias on results. METHODS: Studies of an exposure and a clinical outcome were selected from all Pharmacoepidemiology and Drug Safety publications during 2017 and any reference to outcome misclassification described. An app to correct risk ratio (RR) and cumulative incidence for outcome misclassification was developed from a published methodology and used to demonstrate the impact of correction on point estimates. RESULTS: Eight (19%) of 43 papers selected reported estimates of outcome ascertainment accuracy with positive predictive value (PPV) the most commonly reported measure (7 of 8 studies). Three studies (7%) corrected for the bias, 1 by exposure strata, and 5 (12%) restricted analyses to confirmed cases. The app (app http://apps.p-95.com/ISPE/) uses values of PPV and sensitivity (or a range of possible values) in each exposure strata and returns corrected point estimates and confidence intervals. The app demonstrates that small differences between comparison groups in PPV or sensitivity can introduce bias even when accuracy estimates are high. CONCLUSIONS: Outcome misclassification is not usually corrected in pharmacoepidemiology database studies although correction methods using routinely measured indices are available. Error indices are needed for each comparison group to correct RR estimates for these errors. The app should encourage understanding of this bias and increase adjustment.

Evaluation of a new patient consultation initiative in community pharmacy for ear, nose and throat and eye conditions.

BACKGROUND: Community pharmacy Common Ailments Services can ease the considerable workload pressures on primary and secondary care services. However, evidence is needed to determine whether there are benefits of extending such services beyond their typically limited scope. This study therefore aimed to evaluate a new community pharmacy model of a service for patients with ear, nose and throat (ENT) and eye conditions who would otherwise have had to seek primary care appointments or emergency care. METHODS: People with specified ENT or eye conditions registered with General Practitioners in Staffordshire or Shropshire who presented at participating community pharmacies were offered a consultation with a pharmacist trained to provide the service. The service included provision of relevant self-care advice and, where clinically appropriate, supply of non-prescription medicines or specified prescription-only medicines (POMs), including antibiotics, under Patient Group Directions. Patients received a follow up telephone call from the pharmacist five days later. Data were collected on the characteristics of patients accessing the service, the proportion of those who were treated by the pharmacist without subsequently seeing another health professional about the same condition, and patient reported satisfaction from a questionnaire survey. RESULTS: A total of 408 patients accessed the service, of whom 61% received a POM, 15% received advice and medicine supplied under the common ailments service, 9% received advice and purchased a medicine, 10% received advice only and 5% were referred onwards. Sore throat accounted for 45% of diagnoses where a POM was supplied, 32% were diagnosed with acute otitis media and 15% were diagnosed with acute bacterial conjunctivitis. The number of patients successfully followed up was 309 (76%), of whom 264 (85%) had not seen another health professional for the same symptoms, whilst 45 (15%) had seen another health professional, usually their GP. The questionnaire was completed by 259 patients (response rate 63%) of whom 96% reported being very satisfied or satisfied with the service. CONCLUSIONS: The study demonstrates that pharmacists can effectively diagnose and treat these conditions, with a high degree of patient satisfaction. Wider adoption of such service models could substantially benefit primary care and emergency care services.

Outcomes of salvage surgery for the oropharynx and larynx: a contemporary experience in a UK Cancer Centre.

INTRODUCTION: The purpose of this study was to review our recent experience of salvage surgery, comparing larynx and oropharynx recurrence patterns. METHODS: A single centre, retrospective review of salvage surgery for recurrent head and neck cancer including patients between 2008 and 2016. RESULTS: 61 patients were identified, 36 underwent salvage laryngectomy and 25 received oropharyngeal resections. The median overall survival of oropharyngeal recurrent tumors was 26 months (95% CI 15-118 months) and for laryngeal tumors was 23 months (95% CI 11-38 months), p = 0.1008. There was a significant overall survival benefit in patients with negative resection margin. The median survival in the negative margin group was 38 months (95% CI 25-108 months) compared to the positive margin group, 9 months (95% CI 5-15 months), p < 0.0001. CONCLUSION: Survival results following surgical salvage in the larynx and oropharynx appear to be similarly poor. Those patients with clear margins appear to have a significantly better prognosis.

Long-Term Mortality and Bone Safety in Patients with End-Stage Renal Disease Receiving Lanthanum Carbonate.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: This post-marketing observational study assessed the long-term safety of lanthanum carbonate (LaC) in US patients with end-stage renal disease (NCT00567723). METHODS: Patients (≥18 years old) undergoing dialysis, who had Medicare as their primary healthcare payer, and records in the United States Renal Data System were followed-up for 5 years. Patients who had received LaC for at least 12 consecutive weeks formed the exposed cohort. During the same time period, patients who had undergone dialysis for at least 12 consecutive weeks and had been treated with any other phosphate binder formed the primary comparator cohort. A historical cohort was also evaluated. Primary outcomes were all-cause mortality, and time to and incidence of first bone-fracture event requiring hospitalization. Secondary outcomes were time to first occurrence of and incidence of specific gastrointestinal (GI) disease, liver disease, malignancy, and major infectious episode requiring hospitalization. -Results: 2,026 and 8,094 patients were included in the exposed and primary comparator cohorts, respectively. A Cox proportional hazards model showed that patients receiving LaC were not at increased risk of all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratio 0.94; 95% CI 0.88-1.01; p = 0.078), bone fractures (0.86; 0.71-1.05; p = 0.130), specific GI disease (0.86; 0.76-0.97; p = 0.015), liver disease (0.88; 0.70-1.09; p = 0.236), malignancy (0.85; 0.54-1.34; p = 0.496), or major infectious episodes (0.87; 0.80-0.94; p < 0.001) requiring hospitalization compared with primary comparator patients. CONCLUSIONS: LaC was not associated with increased risk of mortality, bone fractures, or any secondary outcome.

Observational safety study of specific outcomes after trivalent cell culture seasonal influenza vaccination (Optaflu® ) among adults in THIN database of electronic UK primary healthcare records.

PURPOSE: To investigate the safety of trivalent seasonal influenza vaccine (TIVc) (Optaflu® ), the first cell culture seasonal trivalent influenza vaccine available in Europe. METHODS: Codes and unstructured text in adult electronic healthcare records (The Health Improvement Network) were searched for a TIVc brand name or batch number and possible outcomes within a 3 month pre- to 6 month post-TIVc exposure study period (2012-2015). The outcomes were severe allergic reactions, Bell's palsy, convulsions, demyelination, paresthesia, noninfectious encephalitis, neuritis (optic and brachial), vasculitis, inflammatory bowel disease, and thrombocytopenia. Risk periods were defined based on biologically plausible time frame postvaccination when an outcome caused by the vaccine might be expected to occur. Possible outcomes were adjudicated against outcome specific case definitions and a date of onset assigned by using electronic and other medical records. Observed (risk period) to expected (outside risk and preexposure periods) rate ratios, postexposure incidence, and plots of time from exposure to outcome were reported. RESULTS: Sixteen of 1011 events from 4578 exposures fulfilled a primary case definition and had a date of onset during the study period. Three were in observed time. The observed-to-expected rate ratios were (3.3, 95% CI 0.3, 31.7) for convulsions and (1.5, 95% CI 0.2, 14.9) for thrombocytopenia with 1 outcome each in observed time. There was 1 incident inflammatory bowel disease in observed, but none in expected, time. CONCLUSION: The small sample size restricts interpretation; however, no hypothesis of an increased risk of a study outcome was generated. Adjudication of events against case definitions to reduce misclassification of onset and outcomes allowed use of precise risk periods. KEY POINTS This observational study did not generate a hypothesis of an association between the first cell-culture seasonal influenza vaccination available in the European Union and any of the study outcomes (severe allergic reactions, Bell's palsy, convulsions, demyelination, paresthesia, noninfectious encephalitis, neuritis [optic and brachial], vasculitis, inflammatory bowel disease [IBD], and thrombocytopenia). The small sample size limits interpretation of the results. The review of each possible outcome identified from electronic healthcare records against case definitions was included to minimize misclassification of time and outcomes and allow the use of precise risk-periods in an observed-to-expected within cohort analysis. Plots of time from exposure to outcome were included to assess the risk windows.

Factors Associated with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus Treatment Choice Across Four European Countries.

PURPOSE: The aim of this analysis was to identify factors associated with the choice of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) therapy at the time of intensification of antidiabetic treatment across 4 European countries. METHODS: Antidiabetic drug prescription/dispensing records and patients' characteristics were obtained from the electronic health care records of patients with T2DM from the Netherlands (NL), Italy, and Spain (ES) (all, 2007-2011); and the United Kingdom (UK; 2008-2012). Oral monotherapy was defined as first-line; oral dual therapy, as second-line; >2 oral treatments or oral combined with an injectable, as third-line; and injectables only, as fourth-line treatment. Treatment intensification was defined as the start of a higher line of treatment. Comedication, comorbidities, clinical parameters, and other factors associated with treatment choice were identified using multivariate relative risk estimation by Poisson regression with robust error variance. FINDINGS: In the 5-year study period, 485,120 patients (79% of the treated T2DM population) underwent treatment intensification. Changes in treatment choice were clearly visible over the study period, such as a decline in the use of thiazolidinediones (NL, ES, UK) and increases in the use of dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP4i) (NL, ES, UK) and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (UK). With first-line treatment, advanced age and renal comorbidity were associated with the use of sulfonylureas (SUs; all countries), whereas high body mass index (BMI) was inversely associated with SU use in the United Kingdom and Spain. With second-line treatment, advanced age was associated with metformin + SU use (all countries); and renal comorbidity with SU + DPP4i use in the United Kingdom and the Netherlands. High BMI was associated with metformin + thiazolidinedione (TZD) use in the United Kingdom and Spain, and with metformin + DPP4i in the United Kingdom. With third-line treatment, advanced age and renal comorbidity were associated with the use of SU + insulin (NL, ES, UK). Hemoglobin A1c >8.5% was positively associated, and high BMI was inversely associated, with the use of any third-line combination containing insulin. Across treatment lines TZD and metformin were negatively associated with renal and cardiac morbidity. Second and third line treatment choices strongly depended on prior treatments. With fourth-line treatment, women were more likely to receive glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists than were men in the United Kingdom and Spain. IMPLICATIONS: The results suggest that the main factors driving treatment choice at any stage of intensification were age, hemoglobin A1c, BMI, renal and cardiac morbidity, and treatment history. These drivers were consistent with guidelines on, and contraindications of, specific medications. Differences between countries were generally consistent with, but not solely attributable to, differences in local guidelines and reimbursement policies.

Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus Treatment Patterns Across Europe: A Population-based Multi-database Study.

PURPOSE: The aim of this study was to determine the similarities and differences of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) treatment patterns in daily practice in 5 European countries and whether these reflect differences in guidelines. METHODS: Prescriptions for drugs used in diabetes treatment during a 5-year study period were obtained from electronic databases. Patients initiating T2DM treatment during the study period were included. An SAS analysis tool was developed to create episodes of use of drug classes, which resulted in treatment patterns. FINDINGS: A total of 253,530 patients initiating T2DM treatment during the study period were included; 52% to 55% were male, and the mean age ranged from 62 to 67 years. Metformin was the most common initial treatment in all countries. After initial therapy, most patients in the Netherlands, Spain, and the United Kingdom switched to a combination of metformin + a sulfonylurea derivative (SU). In Italy, metformin in combination with an SU was outnumbered by "other treatment," mainly because of repaglinide use. In France, treatments including dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors were most frequent as second- and fourth-line treatment. Metformin monotherapy was again most commonly observed as the third line of treatment in all countries. Fourth treatment was a combination of metformin + an SU in the Netherlands and Spain; in the United Kingdom and France, dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors were the most frequently used fourth line of treatment. IMPLICATIONS: This study provides a comprehensive overview of T2DM treatment patterns among patients initiating T2DM treatment in 5 European countries. There were differences, especially regarding the uptake of newer incretin-based treatments, which are usually prescribed as a second and/or third treatment in agreement with local guidelines. These variations reflect the differences between the national guidelines of these countries.

The incidence of Kawasaki disease after vaccination within the UK pre-school National Immunisation Programme: an observational THIN database study.

PURPOSE: To provide expected incidence rates of Kawasaki disease after vaccination in routine clinical practice and as recommended within a pre-school National Immunisation Programme (NIP). METHODS: A post-immunisation risk period when Kawasaki disease onset might be associated with vaccination was defined as 28 days. Immunisation records for children under 6 years were identified from The Health Improvement Network (THIN) database of electronic UK primary health care records (2008-2012) and linked to previously validated cases of Kawasaki disease with an assigned date of onset. Kawasaki disease incidence in the risk period after a complete NIP recommended set of vaccinations was estimated for five vaccination stages individually and in total. RESULTS: A total of 642 170 complete pre-school immunisation stages from 275 986 children were included. Six cases of Kawasaki disease had onset in the risk period after any NIP stage providing an incidence of 12.8 per 100 000 person years (95%CI 5.7, 28.4). The incidence after any single immunisation stage ranged from 0 to 27.4 (95%CI 8.8, 84.8) per 100 000 person years. CONCLUSION: There were few cases of Kawasaki disease in the risk period after any NIP vaccination combination. The incidence rates will aid in the interpretation of clinical trials and post-marketing surveillance of new vaccines. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Evidence generation from healthcare databases: recommendations for managing change.

There is an increasing reliance on databases of healthcare records for pharmacoepidemiology and other medical research, and such resources are often accessed over a long period of time so it is vital to consider the impact of changes in data, access methodology and the environment. The authors discuss change in communication and management, and provide a checklist of issues to consider for both database providers and users. The scope of the paper is database research, and changes are considered in relation to the three main components of database research: the data content itself, how it is accessed, and the support and tools needed to use the database. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

High Dose Atorvastatin Associated with Increased Risk of Significant Hepatotoxicity in Comparison to Simvastatin in UK GPRD Cohort.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Occasional risk of serious liver dysfunction and autoimmune hepatitis during atorvastatin therapy has been reported. We compared the risk of hepatotoxicity in atorvastatin relative to simvastatin treatment. METHODS: The UK GPRD identified patients with a first prescription for simvastatin [164,407] or atorvastatin [76,411] between 1997 and 2006, but with no prior record of liver disease, alcohol-related diagnosis, or liver dysfunction. Incident liver dysfunction in the following six months was identified by biochemical value and compared between statin groups by Cox regression model adjusting for age, sex, year treatment started, dose, alcohol consumption, smoking, body mass index and comorbid conditions. RESULTS: Moderate to severe hepatotoxicity [bilirubin >60µmol/L, AST or ALT >200U/L or alkaline phosphatase >1200U/L] developed in 71 patients on atorvastatin versus 101 on simvastatin. Adjusted hazard ratio [AHR] for all atorvastatin relative to simvastatin was 1.9 [95% confidence interval 1.4-2.6]. High dose was classified as 40-80mg daily and low dose 10-20mg daily. Hepatotoxicity occurred in 0.44% of 4075 patients on high dose atorvastatin [HDA], 0.07% of 72,336 on low dose atorvastatin [LDA], 0.09% of 44,675 on high dose simvastatin [HDS] and 0.05% of 119,732 on low dose simvastatin [LDS]. AHRs compared to LDS were 7.3 [4.2-12.7] for HDA, 1.4 [0.9-2.0] for LDA and 1.5 [1.0-2.2] for HDS. CONCLUSIONS: The risk of hepatotoxicity was increased in the first six months of atorvastatin compared to simvastatin treatment, with the greatest difference between high dose atorvastatin and low dose simvastatin. The numbers of events in the analyses were small.